BMO’s latest BMO Business Outlook shows U.S. companies cautiously optimistic amid greater clarity on interest rates, policy direction and capital conditions and business leaders shifting from “wait-and-see” to disciplined execution, particularly on artificial intelligence implementation and capital allocation. Companies are moving beyond pilots and experimentation toward practical deployment of AI and automation to streamline operations, improve productivity and redeploy resources toward higher-value opportunities.
“We’re seeing a clear shift from ‘wait-and-see’ to disciplined execution,” said Tony Sciarrino, head, BMO Commercial Bank, U.S. “In this environment, the winners won’t be the companies that take the most risk—they’ll be the ones that allocate capital well, protect margins, and put technology to work in ways that measurably improve productivity.”
BMO’s Business Outlook notes the U.S. economy has meaningful supports in 2026, including AI-driven business investment. At the same time, though, risks remain elevated around trade policy, inflation dynamics and geopolitics.
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