Tax filing season is in full swing, and while preparing your taxes can often be filled with stress, misplaced documents, and worries about proper filing, this year, there may be a silver lining. According to analysts, many Americans may get larger refunds in 2026 due to Trump’s 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill legislation.
Last year, the average refund was $3,167, but, given there are a number of new changes and deductions, experts say many Americans are looking to get back an additional $1,000 or more. Overall, that could come out to around $90 billion more dollars in tax returns.
Here are the biggest changes that could boost your tax refund this year:
No tax on overtime
One of the biggest changes hitting tax filers this year is that overtime hours won’t be taxed. Under the newly signed legislation, there is now a deduction for up to $12,500 of qualifying overtime wages. According to the Tax Policy Center, the law will make for an average tax cut of $1,400. The change applies from this year through 2028.
Larger child tax credit
One change many Americans will see on their tax returns this year is an increase to the Child Tax Credit (CTC). The credit will go from $2,000 per child (under 17 at the end of last year) to $2,200 per child (up from $2,000). The credit begins to phase out for married couples filing jointly with an Adjusted Gross Income (AGI) over $400,000 and $200,000 for single filers.
A new senior deduction
This year, those over 65 are set to receive a new $6,000 Senior Deduction ($12,000 for married couples filing jointly). The temporary deduction is available for 2025–2028, but there are income limits. The deduction is only for those earning under $75,000 ($150,000 for married couples).
No tax on tips
Tips also won’t be taxed this year, although there are limitations based on the taxpayer’s income, occupation, and type of work. Still, those that rely on tips, such as servers, drivers, and more, can deduct up to $25,000 from their taxable income. The benefit won’t apply for anyone with a modified adjusted gross income (MAGI) above $150,000 (or $300,000 for couples). The deduction is scheduled to expire after 2028/
Change to standard deduction
There’s also a change in the standard deduction this year. For single taxpayers the dedication is $15,750 and $31,500 for joint filers. For heads of households, the standard deduction is $23,625. Overall, the new deductions make for an increase of 7.9% since last year.
Change to state and local (SALT) deduction
The SALT deduction, which allows taxpayers who itemize to deduct up to a certain limit of state and local income/sales and property taxes from their federal taxable, will see a temporary increase in the cap. For the 2025 tax year the deduction will increase from $10,000 to $40,000. For high tax states, that could make a huge dent in overall deductions.
Still, when it comes to this particular dedication, most people won’t see the benefit at all. That’s because most people don’t earn enough to itemize deductions and are better off taking the standard deduction. Those in the 1% to 5% income bracket are set to receive the largest benefit of the change.
